Monday, April 27, 2015

Monday Evening Weather Update - Springy weather on the way?

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Updated: 2300z/19:00/7PM 
----------------------------------FORECAST----------------------------------
TONIGHT - Chance of some scattered showers, we can see some showers dropping down the Hudson valley right now....nothing to much though. Lows in mid to upper 40's.

TUESDAY - Some clouds, some sun, overall not a bad day highs near 60° with a nice breeze.
WEDNESDAY - Bit warmer highs in mid 60's, maybe we will reach 70°, slight wind from the SE might cool things down a tad but doubtful.
THURSDAY - Nice, highs in the mid 60's, partly cloudy becoming cloudier later as a storm approaches - still iffy if this storm affects us.
-------------------------FORECAST DISCUSSION-------------------------
Next few days will be good as our cutoff low finally starts moving out and ridging develops! HOWEVER, we still are under the influence of the massive omega blocking going on to the north of us, and so cooler then average temps will stick around until it begins to leave.
Wednesday a weak low will move through the area, but should not cause much of a problem as there will be very little moisture to deal with. Downsloping will make it feel a bit warmer, HOWEVER still looking at temps in mid 60's.
Big question of the week is whether or not the pending classic Miller "A" System comes up the coast and effects us. Closed low dives into the SE and helps surface low form in the NE gulf moving towards the Carolina's and Cape Hattaras. HERE IS THE MILLION DOLLAR QUESTION: Does High pressure building the NE region become strong enough to keep the storm away from us? Or does it not and does the jet capture the NRG and send it up our way? GFS has it way closer, Euro catching the NRG a tad late for us and right out to sea. At this point it would be a few showers for us, but we must watch this carefully!
Have a nice evening guys!

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