Saturday Evening Weather Update - And so the clouds stick!

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Updated: 2230z/18:30/6:30pm
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SPECIAL NOTE: Thoughts and prayers go out to all those affected by the Nepal Earthquake which stuck last night (for us, morning for them) and killed hundreds across 4 countries and setting off avalanches on Mt. Everest. 
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----------------------------------FORECAST----------------------------------

TONIGHT - Lows in low 40's watch for frost. Expect some clouds and then clearing as a storm passes to our south, but otherwise clear.

 

SUNDAY - Some clouds in the afternoon, otherwise pleasant with a stiff breeze, a tad warming in the high 50's into low 60's, again a chilly start to the day.

MONDAY - As two lows spin off in the Gulf of Main and Atlantic, some spotty showers and maybe some gusty winds should come in the evening, but not much. otherwise, partly cloudy through the day highs in mid 50's.

TUESDAY - Ridging (High pressure) builds, dry weather with some wind and highs in low to mid 60's, sunny.

-------------------------FORECAST DISCUSSION-------------------------

Blocking will continue to dominate over the area and to our north getting into midweek, and our nice pesty cutoff low that has been sticking around for 5 days will start to move out Tuesday.

In association with a couple of upper lows spinning out in the Atlantic and Gulf of Main, and as a result of a "spoke" of NRG rotating through the area Monday evening, some spotty showers and maybe a few flakes up in the hills and to the north of the city will be possible.

High pressure will build over the area mid week and ridging to our NW allowing for some nicer and slightly warmer weather, highs into low 60's, but still below average.

Now, we still have a slight chance for a classic "Miller A" storm late week into the weekend, but I gotta tell you chances are it stays to the south of us and shoots out to sea. Models still a bit all over the place, the Euro is much slower and brings it further up the coast then the GFS with phasing and a pretty tight setup, but then shoots it our to sea off the Carolina's, likely because of Ridging and weak HP over us and the way the Jet is configured right now. Very tricky pattern right now, still room for adjustments.

Have a great weekend!