Weather in the Hud with Dillon and Remy: Wednesday Evening Weather Update

Wednesday, April 8, 2015

Wednesday Evening Weather Update - Yucky weather Will end soon!

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Updated: 2320z/19:20/7:20PM

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TONIGHT - A few passing showers is possible around NYC and Northern Suburbs tonight, while a wave of low pressure moves to the north and brings sleet wet flakes on the CT/MA border and heavier snow North and Northeast in Interior Northern New England. Temps in the mid 30's to high 20's in Maine.

THURSDAY - Cloudy, maybe a few rain showers on and off throughout the afternoon. Highs in the mid 40's.

FRIDAY - Partly to mostly cloudy with a chance of scattered thunderstorms in the morning and afternoon, very good chance of getting well into the 60's on this day, 60-65° seems very plausible and maybe even close to 70°.

SATURDAY - Sunny with clouds moving in and out...so lets say partly to mostly cloudy? Highs in mid 40's to maybe 50°.

-------------------------FORECAST DISCUSSION-------------------------

Highlight of the day...SEVERE WEATHER! Ya not here, but man do we have some interesting stuff going on out in the Plains. What we got is a stalled out frontal Boundary going right across the country from Colorado to Ohio to the Carolina's and to us. You can see it in the pictures I have below. This stalled out boundary also happens to be right smack on the edge of the Pacific jet, and it started ushering in waves of low pressure and NRG and it just keeps on giving wink emoticon. So we get a frontal boundary, a jet giving tons of moisture off the Pacific, warm gulf air being sucked up north, Cold air to the North of the Front...recipe for disaster!

So today we got the nice frontal boundary out west draping through ESE Kansas, west Oklahoma, western Texas and into Missouri. Along with it we have the dry-line located right to its west. Advantage today is that there is little warm air aloft along the dry-line, and Lapse rates, CAPE, wind shear among other items are inline and good for spawning severe thunder storms and tornado's. We can see several areas in SE Kansas, Missouri, even a bit in Kentucky where we have supercells forming. Lets see if we can get a tornado outta one. One thing that was noted is that with little convection over last night and today, the actual frontal boundary lifted north a tad. So, NCEP and other sites have changed their ideas a bit north as well with it. Main show starts this evening and into the nighttime (Late afternoon for them in the plains) as the main bulk of NRG comes in behind the initial upper level disturbance. If winds back off and stay back as the Upper low deepens this afternoon, then thats when we start really seeing the tornado's form. But one step at a time.

NOW, for us here in the NE...the jet will continue to bring in waves of low pressure until Friday night as it all moves out and the HP to our north begins to back off and let the jet resume to its normal moving position. Things should really start to warm up next week, looking like multiple days into the 60's and maybe 70's...do we even see an 80° day late next week? Could be!

CIAO for now!

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About Us

Remy Mermelstein - I am 16 and in 10th grade at Irvington High School in Irvington, NY. My love for weather has been around all my life, starting with my absolute obsession with winter and snowstorms since I was a toddler. In addition to weather, I pursue an active life in architecture, interning at a local architects office (Website can be found HERE) and doing many community projects, building, designing and landscaping. I am pursuing a pilot’s license as well, and my knowledge and love for weather helps greatly when flying. My weather page, Weather or Not in the Rivertowns with Remy Mermelstein has been up for about a year now, and I update it at least every other day or more with the latest in weather. I study weather extensively on my own time, and am extremely active in the forums on many weather sites, my favorite being Weatherbell where the knowledge of some of the world’s greatest forecasters are available to me, as well as the massive community of meteorologists, climatologists and pure hobbyists this world has. Dillon and I are also currently working with Joe D'aleo on Science Research involving correlations and effects between the NAO/AO/AMO/PDO...etc... Every day brings a new realm of learning to us here at Weather in the Hud, and every day we learn more. So thank you for joining us here to read our forecasts! And, as always, if you have suggestions, advice about our posts, or the weather and our forecasting PLEASE tell us - we are still students and we recognize that, and want to learn as much as we can. Thank you.

Dillon Palmieri – Hi! I am a sophomore at Irvington High School in New York. Like my colleague Remy, my obsession with meteorology started at a young age when I became fascinated by tornadoes at the age of four. From there, my interest in the field expanded to winter storms, severe weather, and finally grew enough for me to want to create my own weather forecasts. Starting last spring (2014), I began officially doing weather forecasts for the public in the Hudson Valley region with Remy on our Facebook page Weather or Not in the Rivertowns. Our popularity quickly grew into hundreds of followers as our forecasts were consistently accurate and provided detailed information that would otherwise not be provided for a specific area such as the Hudson Valley. I also am currently working with Joe D'Aleo, a very well-known meteorologist employed at Weatherbell on a science research project studying the effects of the AMO, PDO, NAO, and AO on global climate. I wish to thank you for visiting our site and please know we welcome any and all input from our followers to make our site better.