Monday, May 11, 2015

Monday Evening Weather Update - Hot then cool

-
Updated: 0045z/20:45/08:45PM
----------------------------------FORECAST----------------------------------

TONIGHT - Small chance of a shower or two, but doubtful, lows in the mid 60's - WARM night - don't get use to it~!
TUESDAY - Highs in the mid 80's, warm and humid frown emoticon Chance of some showers maybe a t-storm or two as a cold front passes in the evening.
WEDNESDAY - High pressure builds from the west, while Low pressure forms to the NE, this combo could make for some high winds. Much cooler highs around 60°, partly cloudy.
THURSDAY - Highs in the mid 60's, High pressure moves east throughout the day, sunny.
-------------------------FORECAST DISCUSSION------------------------- 
Low pressure from weakening tropical storm Ana will move to the SE of us tonight and into tomorrow night and low pressure approaching the Quebec region. A cold front will move through the area tomorrow evening attached to the Quebec low bringing a chance of showers/t-storms.
High pressure will begin to build behind the front Tuesday night into Thursday, watch out for gusty winds Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday as that HP and LP contrast, remember generally 4 knots per 4mB change in pressure, so on a weather map, look at those isobars center and you can "guess" the wind speeds...right now probably 25-30mph gusts are probable cool air guys! Highs in the mid 60's to 70° will dominate for the rest of the week after Wednesday.
Possible system for the weekend although looking like showers/light rain for now as an organized system is not developing on the models.
Rest of the month, AO and NAO stay positive while the PNA goes + and EPO -. MJO sticking in the circle of death, but close to 7/8 phases, spelling out a slightly cooler solution for us...but for the most part should stay near to slightly above average for the rest of the month, June still looking rather cool/right at average in terms of temps.
Have a great night guys!

Picture of Tropical Storm Ana before landfall.

No comments:

Post a Comment