Weather in the Hud with Dillon and Remy: Sunday Afternoon Weather Update

Sunday, May 3, 2015

Sunday Afternoon Weather Update - Real nice week coming up!

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Updated: 1940z/15:40/3:40PM

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REST OF TODAY - Temps in mid to high 70's will cool to low 50's by nighttime.

TONIGHT - Lows in low 50's, mostly clear.

MONDAY - Really nice weather! A southwest flow, abundant sunshine will give us temps right around 80°!

TUESDAY - A cold front dropping down from the lakes will bring a chance of showers and some light rain in the afternoon into evening. Otherwise partly sunny, highs in mid 70's, we will see if we get any thunderstorms out of this...could get enough instability for them.

WEDNESDAY - Maybe a few lingering showers in the morning as a stationary front develops and then moves to the south, otherwise cloudy turning partly sunny, highs in low to mid 70's.

-------------------------FORECAST DISCUSSION-------------------------

Unseasonably warm temperatures will move into the area for most of this week and probably for the next 10 days or so as the jet moves north, and a Southerly flow develops for the most part. In addition to this, we can observe the MJO being in phase 7 more or less right now which is warm for our region, we do however observe this going into phase 8 possibly in the next 10-15 days which would put us on the cooler side come mid may.

Getting into the week, cold front coming through Tuesday will bring chance of showers into wednesday morning, then ridging builds to the west, it will move east throughout the week and off the mid Atlantic by next weekend. Should stay dry for the week after Wednesday as we get continuous cool air (does not mean it will be cold) descending under the High. Getting into next weekend we will have a warm front approaching and possible soaker, but still to far out to tell any details.

Our first Possible Tropical disturbance of the season could develop in the Bahamas mid week and then move along the SE coast (FL/Carolina's) giving some heavy rain and gusty winds - likely nothing to bad at this point.

As we said in our initial spring forecast released a couple weeks back, we will begin to see above average (ish) temperatures followed by a slight cool-down into Mid may and then another warm-up back to average or above average temps. Gotta credit Dillon on this one as he spotted this warm-up early on.

Have a great rest of the weekend!

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About Us

Remy Mermelstein - I am 16 and in 10th grade at Irvington High School in Irvington, NY. My love for weather has been around all my life, starting with my absolute obsession with winter and snowstorms since I was a toddler. In addition to weather, I pursue an active life in architecture, interning at a local architects office (Website can be found HERE) and doing many community projects, building, designing and landscaping. I am pursuing a pilot’s license as well, and my knowledge and love for weather helps greatly when flying. My weather page, Weather or Not in the Rivertowns with Remy Mermelstein has been up for about a year now, and I update it at least every other day or more with the latest in weather. I study weather extensively on my own time, and am extremely active in the forums on many weather sites, my favorite being Weatherbell where the knowledge of some of the world’s greatest forecasters are available to me, as well as the massive community of meteorologists, climatologists and pure hobbyists this world has. Dillon and I are also currently working with Joe D'aleo on Science Research involving correlations and effects between the NAO/AO/AMO/PDO...etc... Every day brings a new realm of learning to us here at Weather in the Hud, and every day we learn more. So thank you for joining us here to read our forecasts! And, as always, if you have suggestions, advice about our posts, or the weather and our forecasting PLEASE tell us - we are still students and we recognize that, and want to learn as much as we can. Thank you.

Dillon Palmieri – Hi! I am a sophomore at Irvington High School in New York. Like my colleague Remy, my obsession with meteorology started at a young age when I became fascinated by tornadoes at the age of four. From there, my interest in the field expanded to winter storms, severe weather, and finally grew enough for me to want to create my own weather forecasts. Starting last spring (2014), I began officially doing weather forecasts for the public in the Hudson Valley region with Remy on our Facebook page Weather or Not in the Rivertowns. Our popularity quickly grew into hundreds of followers as our forecasts were consistently accurate and provided detailed information that would otherwise not be provided for a specific area such as the Hudson Valley. I also am currently working with Joe D'Aleo, a very well-known meteorologist employed at Weatherbell on a science research project studying the effects of the AMO, PDO, NAO, and AO on global climate. I wish to thank you for visiting our site and please know we welcome any and all input from our followers to make our site better.