Monday, May 25, 2015

Sunday Afternoon Weather Update - HAPPY Memorial Day!

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Updated: 2030z/16:30/04:30PM
----------------------------------FORECAST----------------------------------
REST OF TODAY - Temps in the mid 80's will begin to cool down, mostly sunny with some clouds, southerly flow will continue to bring humid(er) air into the region behind the warm front to our north.
TONIGHT - Lows in the low 60's to high 50's well to the north of NYC. Some clouds, mostly clear though.
TUESDAY - A bit warmer, highs in the mid to high 80's, small chance of a thunderstorm in the afternoon, more so if to the north in Putnam Valley/Central Hudson Valley..otherwise, partly cloudy, mostly sunny, humid.
WEDNESDAY - Chance of t-storms and rain in the late afternoon/evening, otherwise highs around 80-83°, partly cloudy/partly sunny.
THURSDAY - Another chance of t-storms in the afternoon and light rain throughout the day as well, otherwise a tad cooler highs around 80°. Humid.
-----------------------FORECAST DISCUSSION---------------------------
First, a very very happy Memorial Day to all, and a HUGE, MONUMENTAL thanks to all the service members who have dedicated themselves and their families to protecting our country.
Next, HUGE amounts of rain pummeling the southern Plains and Texas, places in Oklahoma and Texas have received over 2 feet of rain in the last couple of weeks! Massive flooding is going on as well from the rain, lets wish them all a speedy recovery!
Some drought relief coming for us, somewhat. See, we will get rain, but the ground is so dry, and warm that evo-transpiration evaporation will exceed precipitation, and so while we may not get deeper into drought, we will not get better...that being said, we are not in THAT bad of a situation.
The Bermuda high is strengthening, and so will promote the SW flow to continue over the next couple of days bringing in warm and humid air into the region through the end of the week, that being said coastal areas will stay in the mid to upper 70's as those sea breezes kick up. You will notice it a bit windier this week...anyway. Ridging will continue to retrograde and expand westward over the week, the Bermuda High will stay in place and warm air will continue to pump pump its way in. Cold front drops in through the weekend, probably late Saturday night into Sunday and this could bring some nice rain....timing still iffy so lets wait on this, but definitely more organized then the thunderstorms this week.
Summer forecast will not be out until Mid June, Dillon and I have finals, and research work to do, and we feel it is best to wait until Summer OFFICIALLY starts..also a lot of things changing right now that could impact the summer, so lets wait and see.

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