Weather in the Hud with Dillon and Remy: Wednesday Evening Weather Update

Wednesday, May 13, 2015

Wednesday Evening Weather Update - Like the cool weather??

Updated: 2335z/19:35/07:35PM

---------------------------------FORECAST-----------------------------------

TONIGHT - Cold WATCH for frost, lows in the low to mid 40's, winds dying down though will make it not as bad. Clear.

THURSDAY - Highs in the high 60's, a tad warmer then today. Nice day, clear, not as much wind at all.

FRIDAY - A tad warmer, highs around 70°, watch out for some clouds...not too bad though. Nice day. Clouds getting thicker at night as a very weak frontal system moves through.

SATURDAY - Highs in the mid 70's, cloudy with showers in the morning and maybe a t-storm or two during the morning into the afternoon...not much though.

--------------------------FORECAST DISCUSSION------------------------

Now was that temperature contrast or not! We reached 83.6° Yesterday, and only 64.3° today - that is over a 19° difference in less then 24 hours!

Now, lets enjoy it...cooler weather, closer to average will be sticking around for the next couple days and into the weekend. High pressure will continue to build to the west of us tonight and move over us tomorrow into Friday. Watch for those clouds forming Friday afternoon as a weak area of low pressure/frontal system moves closer into the night. Showers and maybe a t-storm into Saturday afternoon cannot be ruled out. Models are sticking with the precipitation staying to the north of us as the warm front moves through..we shall see. GFS does want to build things up a bit, showing CAPE 1500-2200 during the day Saturday and a good amount of instability for the afternoon into evening in terms of t-storms, but lets see what the ridging does to try to stop that. Likely, if a cell does form FRIDAY NIGHT, it will be mostly quick bursts of heavy rainfall as storm motion very slow and now that much convection going on. Saturday the storms look a bit quicker and uplift/dynamics a bit better to produce less rain but maybe more thunder if something develops.

Highs pressure will again build Sunday into Monday as High Pressure builds from the Canadian Maritimes, a bit more humid air but cooler as well. Next system likely Tuesday-Wednesday and this could be a nice bout of rain as a cold front moves through and an organized low tries to develop to the south of us and come north....lets wait and see what happens with this.

We need rain, right now we have had no measurable rain for this month, and in April ended with 71% of normal Precipitation. The Palmer Drought Index for our region is at -3 anomaly, and precipitation is 4" below normal for the period March through May 8th.

Have a great night guys!

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About Us

Remy Mermelstein - I am 16 and in 10th grade at Irvington High School in Irvington, NY. My love for weather has been around all my life, starting with my absolute obsession with winter and snowstorms since I was a toddler. In addition to weather, I pursue an active life in architecture, interning at a local architects office (Website can be found HERE) and doing many community projects, building, designing and landscaping. I am pursuing a pilot’s license as well, and my knowledge and love for weather helps greatly when flying. My weather page, Weather or Not in the Rivertowns with Remy Mermelstein has been up for about a year now, and I update it at least every other day or more with the latest in weather. I study weather extensively on my own time, and am extremely active in the forums on many weather sites, my favorite being Weatherbell where the knowledge of some of the world’s greatest forecasters are available to me, as well as the massive community of meteorologists, climatologists and pure hobbyists this world has. Dillon and I are also currently working with Joe D'aleo on Science Research involving correlations and effects between the NAO/AO/AMO/PDO...etc... Every day brings a new realm of learning to us here at Weather in the Hud, and every day we learn more. So thank you for joining us here to read our forecasts! And, as always, if you have suggestions, advice about our posts, or the weather and our forecasting PLEASE tell us - we are still students and we recognize that, and want to learn as much as we can. Thank you.

Dillon Palmieri – Hi! I am a sophomore at Irvington High School in New York. Like my colleague Remy, my obsession with meteorology started at a young age when I became fascinated by tornadoes at the age of four. From there, my interest in the field expanded to winter storms, severe weather, and finally grew enough for me to want to create my own weather forecasts. Starting last spring (2014), I began officially doing weather forecasts for the public in the Hudson Valley region with Remy on our Facebook page Weather or Not in the Rivertowns. Our popularity quickly grew into hundreds of followers as our forecasts were consistently accurate and provided detailed information that would otherwise not be provided for a specific area such as the Hudson Valley. I also am currently working with Joe D'Aleo, a very well-known meteorologist employed at Weatherbell on a science research project studying the effects of the AMO, PDO, NAO, and AO on global climate. I wish to thank you for visiting our site and please know we welcome any and all input from our followers to make our site better.