Weather in the Hud with Dillon and Remy: Wednesday Evening Weather Update

Wednesday, May 20, 2015

Wednesday Evening Weather Update - Lets keep the cool

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Updated: 0045z/20:47/08:47PM

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TONIGHT - Chance of a sprinkle or two, otherwise partly cloudy/clear lows COOL in the mid 40's to high 30's possible in NW NY and interior N.E.

THURSDAY - Gonna be a close call as a system develops in the Mid Atlantic and moves North, it might be raining in NYC but not here...chance of some showers/light rain especially in the afternoon into evening...overall though maybe 30-40% chance though. Highs a bit cooler then today as HP just to the north of us builds slightly around 60-62°.

FRIDAY - NO SCHOOL! (At least for Irvington kids wink emoticon ) Highs around 70°, chilly morning though., Clouds in and out as Low Pressure builds to the NE and E, otherwise sunny.

SATURDAY - Highs in the high 60's, breezy, less clouds then Friday but in and out.

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OK Whats going on! ALOT believe it or not....affecting us or not physically it affects the weather for us anyway. Shortwave will continue to cross the Ohio Valley tonight into tomorrow and allow Low pressure to form in the Mid Atlantic coasts...nice May soaker for all those south of NYC essentially in the Mid Atlantic especially Baltimore. Clouds will role in north of NYC but not expecting much rain, maybe a few sprinkles in NYC and on LI.....Bigger chance of rain in the evening, still only 30-40% as shortwave digs and low deepens off the coast.

Now, Update on spring! The Sun is making its way slowly north as we gear up for our Summer Solstice...currently the sun is at just under 14°N Latitude, about 62° Altitude in our sky (it will get to about 72°), a little over halfway to its summer spot at 23.5°N for June 21st and our longest day, nearly 14 hours of sunlight. After that it is all downhill from there as the sun makes it back to the equator for the fall equinox and then 23.5°S for the winter solstice and our shortest day of the year, only 9 ish hours of sunlight.

As I said before, temps will continue going back and forth but CFSV2 liking june staying just about at or just above average temps, then a cool down in July... However this is a volatile situation as the El Nino on the models looking like either super duper strong or not so strong with every run...lets see what they finally agree on and what the conditions show. We have seen a steady expansion of the warm pools, but lets wait and see....

CFSV2 showing strong El Nino all the way through next year, just saying, but not buying that for now. Any rumors about Pacific crash...ehhh not so much from what I see. Warm pools will diminish a bit but I don't think it would qualify as a "crash" in anyway. Again El Nino changing and all this will have an impact so...lets wait and see.

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About Us

Remy Mermelstein - I am 16 and in 10th grade at Irvington High School in Irvington, NY. My love for weather has been around all my life, starting with my absolute obsession with winter and snowstorms since I was a toddler. In addition to weather, I pursue an active life in architecture, interning at a local architects office (Website can be found HERE) and doing many community projects, building, designing and landscaping. I am pursuing a pilot’s license as well, and my knowledge and love for weather helps greatly when flying. My weather page, Weather or Not in the Rivertowns with Remy Mermelstein has been up for about a year now, and I update it at least every other day or more with the latest in weather. I study weather extensively on my own time, and am extremely active in the forums on many weather sites, my favorite being Weatherbell where the knowledge of some of the world’s greatest forecasters are available to me, as well as the massive community of meteorologists, climatologists and pure hobbyists this world has. Dillon and I are also currently working with Joe D'aleo on Science Research involving correlations and effects between the NAO/AO/AMO/PDO...etc... Every day brings a new realm of learning to us here at Weather in the Hud, and every day we learn more. So thank you for joining us here to read our forecasts! And, as always, if you have suggestions, advice about our posts, or the weather and our forecasting PLEASE tell us - we are still students and we recognize that, and want to learn as much as we can. Thank you.

Dillon Palmieri – Hi! I am a sophomore at Irvington High School in New York. Like my colleague Remy, my obsession with meteorology started at a young age when I became fascinated by tornadoes at the age of four. From there, my interest in the field expanded to winter storms, severe weather, and finally grew enough for me to want to create my own weather forecasts. Starting last spring (2014), I began officially doing weather forecasts for the public in the Hudson Valley region with Remy on our Facebook page Weather or Not in the Rivertowns. Our popularity quickly grew into hundreds of followers as our forecasts were consistently accurate and provided detailed information that would otherwise not be provided for a specific area such as the Hudson Valley. I also am currently working with Joe D'Aleo, a very well-known meteorologist employed at Weatherbell on a science research project studying the effects of the AMO, PDO, NAO, and AO on global climate. I wish to thank you for visiting our site and please know we welcome any and all input from our followers to make our site better.