Weather in the Hud with Dillon and Remy: Friday Afternoon Update

Friday, June 12, 2015

Friday Afternoon Update - Eyes on the gulf, and more rain

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Updated: 2045z/16:45/4:45PM

---------------------------------FORECAST-----------------------------------

TONIGHT - Scattered thunderstorms in the evening and into the night, guys these are isolated and some may get hit, some may not. Some are strong, others are not as strong. But, chance for isolated thunderstorms and heavier downpours especially as you get further north of NYC and as the warm front sweeps through. Lows in the high 60's to around 70°.

SATURDAY - Highs a bit cooler then today, low 80's and a bit drier as high pressure (weak) builds in behind the cold front from Friday night. Watch for some clouds, but otherwise should be a nice day, small chance of a t-storm in the morning though.

SUNDAY - Some sun in the morning but watch for those clouds moving in. Highs in the low 80's.

MONDAY - Rain is coming - most likely wink emoticon warm front comes through Monday followed by a cold front Tuesday, so expect more widespread rain and some t-storms localized heavy downpours as well. Highs a bit cooler in low to mid 70's.

--------------------------FORECAST DISCUSSION------------------------

And so a new pattern is coming! Upper level ridging and High pressure will build over the SE likely focusing the heaviest rains Texas --> Oklahoma --> Illinois --> Ohio --> Mid Atlantic/NY. In addition to this, eyes on the gulf! Will we get a TC out of the mess down there? likely NO, but we sure will get some heavy rains and flooding and winds for Texas and up on along that axis I explained above (which is in the picture as well below)

Warm front approaches Sunday and cross the area Monday bringing more widespread rain to the area, cold front moves in through Tuesday, the rain should all end by Tuesday night and give a nice Wednesday as weak high pressure builds but lets watch for another system that could affect us Thur-Fri next week.

Quick note on the MJO - Seeing it go into phase 3 in the next couple of weeks, which means for us continued above average temps...not by much, but a bit, that being said watch for those bursts of colder air smile emoticon

Have a great weekend guys!

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About Us

Remy Mermelstein - I am 16 and in 10th grade at Irvington High School in Irvington, NY. My love for weather has been around all my life, starting with my absolute obsession with winter and snowstorms since I was a toddler. In addition to weather, I pursue an active life in architecture, interning at a local architects office (Website can be found HERE) and doing many community projects, building, designing and landscaping. I am pursuing a pilot’s license as well, and my knowledge and love for weather helps greatly when flying. My weather page, Weather or Not in the Rivertowns with Remy Mermelstein has been up for about a year now, and I update it at least every other day or more with the latest in weather. I study weather extensively on my own time, and am extremely active in the forums on many weather sites, my favorite being Weatherbell where the knowledge of some of the world’s greatest forecasters are available to me, as well as the massive community of meteorologists, climatologists and pure hobbyists this world has. Dillon and I are also currently working with Joe D'aleo on Science Research involving correlations and effects between the NAO/AO/AMO/PDO...etc... Every day brings a new realm of learning to us here at Weather in the Hud, and every day we learn more. So thank you for joining us here to read our forecasts! And, as always, if you have suggestions, advice about our posts, or the weather and our forecasting PLEASE tell us - we are still students and we recognize that, and want to learn as much as we can. Thank you.

Dillon Palmieri – Hi! I am a sophomore at Irvington High School in New York. Like my colleague Remy, my obsession with meteorology started at a young age when I became fascinated by tornadoes at the age of four. From there, my interest in the field expanded to winter storms, severe weather, and finally grew enough for me to want to create my own weather forecasts. Starting last spring (2014), I began officially doing weather forecasts for the public in the Hudson Valley region with Remy on our Facebook page Weather or Not in the Rivertowns. Our popularity quickly grew into hundreds of followers as our forecasts were consistently accurate and provided detailed information that would otherwise not be provided for a specific area such as the Hudson Valley. I also am currently working with Joe D'Aleo, a very well-known meteorologist employed at Weatherbell on a science research project studying the effects of the AMO, PDO, NAO, and AO on global climate. I wish to thank you for visiting our site and please know we welcome any and all input from our followers to make our site better.