Weather in the Hud with Dillon and Remy: Monday Afternoon Quickie Update

Monday, June 8, 2015

Monday Afternoon Quickie Update - Tornado Watches for some!!!

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Updated: 2000z/16:00/04:00PM

----------------------------------WARNINGS----------------------------------

TORNADO WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

BROOME CHEMUNG CHENANGO
CORTLAND DELAWARE OTSEGO
SULLIVAN TIOGA TOMPKINS

THIS INCLUDES: BINGHAMTON...CORTLAND...DELHI...
DEPOSIT...ELMIRA...ENDICOTT...FACTORYVILLE...FOREST CITY...
GREAT BEND...HALLSTEAD...HANCOCK...HAWLEY...HAZLETON...
HONESDALE...ITHACA...JOHNSON CITY...KINGSTON...LANESBORO...
LIBERTY...MILFORD...MONTICELLO...MONTROSE...MOUNTAIN TOP...
NANTICOKE...NARROWSBURG...NEW MILFORD...NICHOLSON...NORWICH...
ONEONTA...OWEGO...SCRANTON...SIDNEY...SOUTH FALLSBURG...
SPRINGFIELD...STAMFORD...TUNKHANNOCK...WALTON...WAVERLY...
WAYMART AND WILKES-BARRE

WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM (20:00, 0000Z)

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REST OF TODAY/TONIGHT - Read above for where the Tornado watches are. I do not expect them to expand these watches any further east of where they are now, but still be on the look out for heavy t-storms and downpours this afternoon and evening especially after 8PM. Tornado watch will go down at 8PM unless they decide to continue it.

Heaviest storms will be west of the Hudson, most storms will not reach the NYC metro area, Northern Suburbs until well after 8PM, closer to midnight. Surface Instability has been increasing slowly, but increasing over the last 8 hours and it will continue to increase along with the mL CAPE to 800-1200, Possibly localized higher amounts. Shortwave passes through this evening as the warm front passes through, organized convection and the line of storms will continue, again the worst west of the Hudson river, possibly a tornado as good wind shear 30knts or so and rotation. Convection will weaken as it moves over our region. Coastal areas should be fine.

Look at picture below, simulated radar, look at the times, that is when the storms should be approaching our area. Watch for gusty winds and heavy rain. Have a great night!

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About Us

Remy Mermelstein - I am 16 and in 10th grade at Irvington High School in Irvington, NY. My love for weather has been around all my life, starting with my absolute obsession with winter and snowstorms since I was a toddler. In addition to weather, I pursue an active life in architecture, interning at a local architects office (Website can be found HERE) and doing many community projects, building, designing and landscaping. I am pursuing a pilot’s license as well, and my knowledge and love for weather helps greatly when flying. My weather page, Weather or Not in the Rivertowns with Remy Mermelstein has been up for about a year now, and I update it at least every other day or more with the latest in weather. I study weather extensively on my own time, and am extremely active in the forums on many weather sites, my favorite being Weatherbell where the knowledge of some of the world’s greatest forecasters are available to me, as well as the massive community of meteorologists, climatologists and pure hobbyists this world has. Dillon and I are also currently working with Joe D'aleo on Science Research involving correlations and effects between the NAO/AO/AMO/PDO...etc... Every day brings a new realm of learning to us here at Weather in the Hud, and every day we learn more. So thank you for joining us here to read our forecasts! And, as always, if you have suggestions, advice about our posts, or the weather and our forecasting PLEASE tell us - we are still students and we recognize that, and want to learn as much as we can. Thank you.

Dillon Palmieri – Hi! I am a sophomore at Irvington High School in New York. Like my colleague Remy, my obsession with meteorology started at a young age when I became fascinated by tornadoes at the age of four. From there, my interest in the field expanded to winter storms, severe weather, and finally grew enough for me to want to create my own weather forecasts. Starting last spring (2014), I began officially doing weather forecasts for the public in the Hudson Valley region with Remy on our Facebook page Weather or Not in the Rivertowns. Our popularity quickly grew into hundreds of followers as our forecasts were consistently accurate and provided detailed information that would otherwise not be provided for a specific area such as the Hudson Valley. I also am currently working with Joe D'Aleo, a very well-known meteorologist employed at Weatherbell on a science research project studying the effects of the AMO, PDO, NAO, and AO on global climate. I wish to thank you for visiting our site and please know we welcome any and all input from our followers to make our site better.