Weather in the Hud with Dillon and Remy: Friday Evening Weather Update

Friday, March 13, 2015

Friday Evening Weather Update

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Updated: 0115z/21:15/09:15PM

--------------------------------FORECAST--------------------------------

TONIGHT - Rain will begin in the very early hours of tomorrow morning, probably around 4-5am. IT COULD VERY WELL start as some freezing rain/sleet but should quickly change over to all rain. Lows in the low 30's.

SATURDAY - Rain, and it could be heavy especially in the morning will clear out in the afternoon/evening and lead to cloudy skies. Temps in the low 40's.

SATURDAY NIGHT - Clearing, lows in the mid 30's.

SUNDAY - Maybe a few showers/ snow flurries otherwise partly sunny highs in the low to mid 40's

MONDAY - Partly sunny highs in the mid to upper 40's

-------------------------FORECAST DISCUSSION-------------------------

Looking into the longer range time period from now until probably into early April, the pattern seems very ripe to continue the cold(er) and stormy. Of course, remember even 5-10° below average temps are now in the mid 30's to 40's...so, not as cold.

Some of the models, including the GFS have a good 2-4 Big threats to our region (North East) over the next 2-3 weeks. Now, these are threats, and may or may not actually hit us.

One thing that we have lacked this winter is what is called "Blocking" Essentially big ridges, or areas of High Pressure that act as a block to storms and slow them down, allowing them to phase better and become stronger before heading out to sea. NOW, the models are pretty intent that we will be getting A LOT of this blocking over the next several weeks. This is very important as it will play a big factor in these potential storms, whether or not they hit us and how they act.

COLD will be coming next week as well - NOW, if you hear the words polar vortex with this cold DO NOT BELIEVE IT! Guys if the polar vortex made a visit we would have bigger problems to fry with our atmosphere. It will instead be a Arctic Polar HP, or cP Air mass.

So, all in all a very active period coming up for the weather. Stay with us for the latest details!

Have a great night, and as always, to quote JB, "Enjoy the weather, its the only weather ya got!"

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About Us

Remy Mermelstein - I am 16 and in 10th grade at Irvington High School in Irvington, NY. My love for weather has been around all my life, starting with my absolute obsession with winter and snowstorms since I was a toddler. In addition to weather, I pursue an active life in architecture, interning at a local architects office (Website can be found HERE) and doing many community projects, building, designing and landscaping. I am pursuing a pilot’s license as well, and my knowledge and love for weather helps greatly when flying. My weather page, Weather or Not in the Rivertowns with Remy Mermelstein has been up for about a year now, and I update it at least every other day or more with the latest in weather. I study weather extensively on my own time, and am extremely active in the forums on many weather sites, my favorite being Weatherbell where the knowledge of some of the world’s greatest forecasters are available to me, as well as the massive community of meteorologists, climatologists and pure hobbyists this world has. Dillon and I are also currently working with Joe D'aleo on Science Research involving correlations and effects between the NAO/AO/AMO/PDO...etc... Every day brings a new realm of learning to us here at Weather in the Hud, and every day we learn more. So thank you for joining us here to read our forecasts! And, as always, if you have suggestions, advice about our posts, or the weather and our forecasting PLEASE tell us - we are still students and we recognize that, and want to learn as much as we can. Thank you.

Dillon Palmieri – Hi! I am a sophomore at Irvington High School in New York. Like my colleague Remy, my obsession with meteorology started at a young age when I became fascinated by tornadoes at the age of four. From there, my interest in the field expanded to winter storms, severe weather, and finally grew enough for me to want to create my own weather forecasts. Starting last spring (2014), I began officially doing weather forecasts for the public in the Hudson Valley region with Remy on our Facebook page Weather or Not in the Rivertowns. Our popularity quickly grew into hundreds of followers as our forecasts were consistently accurate and provided detailed information that would otherwise not be provided for a specific area such as the Hudson Valley. I also am currently working with Joe D'Aleo, a very well-known meteorologist employed at Weatherbell on a science research project studying the effects of the AMO, PDO, NAO, and AO on global climate. I wish to thank you for visiting our site and please know we welcome any and all input from our followers to make our site better.