Weather in the Hud with Dillon and Remy: Thursday Evening Weather Update

Thursday, March 5, 2015

Thursday Evening Weather Update

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Updated: 0115z/20:15/08:15PM

FORECAST

TONIGHT - Some stray snow showers may linger as the system moves out and the Arctic front moves through. WATCH FOR ICE! Anything that was not frozen today will ice up tonight - anything unplowed, secondary roads, etc...WATCH! Lows near 0° - AT THIS temperature SALT is useless!

FRIDAY - Cold, windy and Sunny. Highs in the low 20's, winds nice and blustery.

SATURDAY - Nice, Highs around freezing, sunny.

SUNDAY - A bit warmer, mostly sunny highs in around 40°

FORECAST DISCUSSION

Very proud of [my] forecast for the storm - looks like I win the bet with Dillon and a teacher, I said 4-8", we got 6.5"...right darn in the middle! So, how many people (weather companies too) said it would go south? EVEN as it was happening how many said oh it will end by 10am, or just a few inches... So, excited that we nailed this one!

NOW, what is this I see on the models....warmth? YESS, BUT, always a BUT, a false warmth, spring kinda thing. Yes we will reach low 40's for a few days in the coming week...but then guess what? mhhhm you guessed it...another storm coming on the models. Is it rain? ice? snow? Still very far out, but it very well could be all three as temperatures will be at or below freezing at some points, especially at night. Now, specifically - this might be a similar set up to this storm, cold front stalls to the south of us and we get an Ana-frontal type set up...of course this could change. JUST a heads up, possible storm for Next weekend/late next week.

Going LONG range...the longer range 30-45 day models just do NOT wanna let winter leave! Many of these models are sticking with this cold and stormy pattern at least until beginning of April maybe? Just a heads up though, when I say cold, I really mean BELOW AVERAGE temps - so, even if temperatures are 5 to 10° below average, the average in late march is near 50°...so actual temps in low 40's high 30's...getting further away from snow temps, doesnt mean it cannot snow...but eventually even below average temps will be too high for snow.

Thats it for now!

Have a GREAT night!!!

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About Us

Remy Mermelstein - I am 16 and in 10th grade at Irvington High School in Irvington, NY. My love for weather has been around all my life, starting with my absolute obsession with winter and snowstorms since I was a toddler. In addition to weather, I pursue an active life in architecture, interning at a local architects office (Website can be found HERE) and doing many community projects, building, designing and landscaping. I am pursuing a pilot’s license as well, and my knowledge and love for weather helps greatly when flying. My weather page, Weather or Not in the Rivertowns with Remy Mermelstein has been up for about a year now, and I update it at least every other day or more with the latest in weather. I study weather extensively on my own time, and am extremely active in the forums on many weather sites, my favorite being Weatherbell where the knowledge of some of the world’s greatest forecasters are available to me, as well as the massive community of meteorologists, climatologists and pure hobbyists this world has. Dillon and I are also currently working with Joe D'aleo on Science Research involving correlations and effects between the NAO/AO/AMO/PDO...etc... Every day brings a new realm of learning to us here at Weather in the Hud, and every day we learn more. So thank you for joining us here to read our forecasts! And, as always, if you have suggestions, advice about our posts, or the weather and our forecasting PLEASE tell us - we are still students and we recognize that, and want to learn as much as we can. Thank you.

Dillon Palmieri – Hi! I am a sophomore at Irvington High School in New York. Like my colleague Remy, my obsession with meteorology started at a young age when I became fascinated by tornadoes at the age of four. From there, my interest in the field expanded to winter storms, severe weather, and finally grew enough for me to want to create my own weather forecasts. Starting last spring (2014), I began officially doing weather forecasts for the public in the Hudson Valley region with Remy on our Facebook page Weather or Not in the Rivertowns. Our popularity quickly grew into hundreds of followers as our forecasts were consistently accurate and provided detailed information that would otherwise not be provided for a specific area such as the Hudson Valley. I also am currently working with Joe D'Aleo, a very well-known meteorologist employed at Weatherbell on a science research project studying the effects of the AMO, PDO, NAO, and AO on global climate. I wish to thank you for visiting our site and please know we welcome any and all input from our followers to make our site better.