Weather in the Hud with Dillon and Remy: Monday Night Update

Monday, March 30, 2015

Monday Night Update - Snow Coming tomorrow!

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Updated:0230z/22:30/10:30PM

---------------------------------FORECAST-----------------------------------

TONIGHT - A few scattered showers possible, maybe some snow flakes coming down. Lows at or below freezing for most.

TUESDAY - Alberta Clipper here it comes! Cloudy morning will give way to a light snow by early afternoon lasting through to the evening hours most likely. See maps for details. Highs in the low 30's in the morning getting up to around 40° but watch out that will quickly drop back to 30's in the evening and nighttime.

WEDNESDAY - Sunny highs low 40's

THURSDAY - a few clouds otherwise nice, highs in the high 40's..possibly making it into the 50's with southerlies and down sloping.

--------------------------FORECAST DISCUSSION------------------------

Winter just keeps wanna coming! But dont worry! Serious signs of a pattern change to a more spring like feel starting after April 10-13th...FOR NOW wink emoticon.

An Alberta clipper will affect the area tomorrow. NOW, couple problems with this, FIRST it will be snowing during the afternoon mostly when the sun is at its strongest, secondly temps will be marginal. SO...right now the accumulations on the map are for GRASSY, UNPAVED surfaces...driveways..etc. MAIN Roads will probably not get messy with this. A general 1-3" for the NYC northern Suburbs, more to the West. See map for details. This being said, looking at the progs Dillon and I are worried about some "thumping" as there will be good dynamics with this system, strong northerlies aloft ramming the warm air into cold creates strong uplift and will enhance the snows. High lapse rates indicate this as well. Not a big storm, but not a little Clipper..

Still worried about snow for Easter Weekend. Now whether it changes to rain after snowing a bit is a question that needs to be answered...but do not put away your shovels yet. GFS is still hanging onto a snow situation as it has been for 4-5 runs now...so definitely something to watch for. The Euro has been sticking with a Lake Cutter, but the latest run (12z) showed a big fungdungle of a mess going on that has no clear "idea" to it, more like many ideas in one....so maybe a trend to something else we shall see what happens tonight.

Another couple storms after that possible next week...rain or snow or both cannot be figured out yet it is too far out.

HAVE A GREAT NIGHT!

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About Us

Remy Mermelstein - I am 16 and in 10th grade at Irvington High School in Irvington, NY. My love for weather has been around all my life, starting with my absolute obsession with winter and snowstorms since I was a toddler. In addition to weather, I pursue an active life in architecture, interning at a local architects office (Website can be found HERE) and doing many community projects, building, designing and landscaping. I am pursuing a pilot’s license as well, and my knowledge and love for weather helps greatly when flying. My weather page, Weather or Not in the Rivertowns with Remy Mermelstein has been up for about a year now, and I update it at least every other day or more with the latest in weather. I study weather extensively on my own time, and am extremely active in the forums on many weather sites, my favorite being Weatherbell where the knowledge of some of the world’s greatest forecasters are available to me, as well as the massive community of meteorologists, climatologists and pure hobbyists this world has. Dillon and I are also currently working with Joe D'aleo on Science Research involving correlations and effects between the NAO/AO/AMO/PDO...etc... Every day brings a new realm of learning to us here at Weather in the Hud, and every day we learn more. So thank you for joining us here to read our forecasts! And, as always, if you have suggestions, advice about our posts, or the weather and our forecasting PLEASE tell us - we are still students and we recognize that, and want to learn as much as we can. Thank you.

Dillon Palmieri – Hi! I am a sophomore at Irvington High School in New York. Like my colleague Remy, my obsession with meteorology started at a young age when I became fascinated by tornadoes at the age of four. From there, my interest in the field expanded to winter storms, severe weather, and finally grew enough for me to want to create my own weather forecasts. Starting last spring (2014), I began officially doing weather forecasts for the public in the Hudson Valley region with Remy on our Facebook page Weather or Not in the Rivertowns. Our popularity quickly grew into hundreds of followers as our forecasts were consistently accurate and provided detailed information that would otherwise not be provided for a specific area such as the Hudson Valley. I also am currently working with Joe D'Aleo, a very well-known meteorologist employed at Weatherbell on a science research project studying the effects of the AMO, PDO, NAO, and AO on global climate. I wish to thank you for visiting our site and please know we welcome any and all input from our followers to make our site better.