*******TUESDAY NIGHT UPDATE, BIG ONE**********

OK, COUPLE OF THINGS GOING ON HERE....AS OF NOW THIS IS WHERE WE STAND:

1. I DO NOT THINK CLIPPER TOMORROW WARRANTS A SNOW MAP...AS OF NOW. HOWEVER, IF I SEE THAT WE DO NEED ONE TOMORROW I WILL LET YOU KNOW - IT JUST IS SO WEAK AND TO THE SOUTH OF US, The energy will transfer very quickly to a developing coastal storm (missing us)...I WOULD BE SURPRISED IF WE GET AN INCH AT THIS POINT....THERE ARE POTENTIAL WAYS THIS COULD CHANGE - BUT THE MODELS SEEM PRETTY CONCISE AT THIS POINT IN TIME, and My own thinking does too.

2. We have a VERY possible major storm for this weekend, Saturday Night into Sunday. NOW, at this point...IT COULD ALL CHANGE...I mean the way the models have been acting, tomorrow we could wake up and its gone - but...as of now, it is on the 3 Major models...and all more or less in consensus. So...not going to present specifics, but general Idea:

A pocket of energy will cross into California over the next couple of days and make its way into the gulf where it will form a fairly strong low pressure System. At the same time a fairly strong upper level disturbance will be crossing Southern Canada. Energy will "drop" from this disturbance as our storm moves north from the gulf and will help it rapidly intensify off the Carolina's Coast. It will LIKELY take a NE track while rapidly intensifying off of Long Island and up through the Cape/Nantucket. This storm HAS the potential to be very strong, big winds, and possible big snows...all dependent on its track. We do want it to move west a teeny bit...but NOT too much. We do NOT want it to go east.

So, we will keep the updates coming on this! Models are hinting at an event next week...that's all for now on that. FOR THOSE OF YOU WHO ARE MORE INTO THE SPECIFICS, THE PICTURES POSTED BELOW EXPLAIN IT IN DETAIL!.

***********ALL MAPS/PICTURES COURTESY OF WEATHERBELL/RYAN MAUE*********

****************************FORECAST***********************

WEDNESDAY- Highs in the High 20's to maybe low 30's...Cloudy becoming cloudier, light snow/snow showers developing in the afternoon/late afternoon continuing through the night on and off. Accumulations a dusting to an inch IF we are lucky at this point

THURSDAY - Highs in the low to mid 30's, Snow showers in the morning MAYBE will lead to mostly sunny skies...few clouds probably too.

FRIDAY - Highs in the High 20's to low 30's, partly cloudy on and off.

CHECK BACK FOR UPDATES ON THE POSSIBLE STORM!

*********TUESDAY EVENING UPDATE*********

OK guys not A LOT going on for us in the next week in terms of weather. Some of you may have seen my comment on weather.com about their post "BIG Pattern change coming", or SOME may have SEEN the headline on their site. WELL...JUST SO WE ARE CLEAR...***************THERE IS NO..I REPEAT NO BIG PATTERN CHANGE****************
Sure, we will see a warmup over the next couple of days STARTING for the weekend..and compared to what WE have experienced this will be a BIG warmup...BUT THE TEMPERATURES WILL NOT REALLY GO ABOVE AVERAGE - AND IF THEY DO...ONLY BY ABOUT 3/4°!!!!! 

What is happening, is that the EXTREME Cold Siberian and Arctic air that has been GRIPPING the country for a week or so is RUNNING OUT...Listen folks, THERE ISNT AN ENDLESS SUPPLY OF COLD AIR! AT SOME POINT IT MUST RUN OUT! AND WHEN IT DOES - GUESS WHAT!!! IT GETS A BIT WARMER!!!!

So, when the "Weather Channel" says "BIG PATTERN CHANGE" I GET QUITE UPSET - BECAUSE the OVERALL pattern that is controlling the weather right now, IS NOT CHANGING!!!! AND IN FACT..IF IT DOES CHANGE..which wont be for a couple weeks AT BEST, IT WILL CHANGE TO FAVOR A MORE STORMY AND COLD (possibly) pattern. 

What we are experiencing over the next couple of days, is a short lived, weak warmup from a disapearance of cold air. AND THAT IS IT. No pattern change.

OK ENOUGH OF MY RANTING - JUST HAD TO GET THAT OFF MY CHEST!

SO RIGHT ON TO THE FORECAST SINCE THERE IS NOTHING ELSE TO TALK ABOUT WEATHER WISE

TONIGHT - COLD and clear, Highs in the low to mid teens...pretty much throughout the whole Northeast, Very northern parts along the border will dip into Negatives.

WEDNESDAY - MAYBE, JUST MAYBE Some flurries in the morning but I DOUBT it..and that would only be for NYC and south. Otherwise, mostly sunny Highs near 30° getting into 20's and teens farther North and West of NYC.

THURSDAY - The coastal storm that WAS SUPPOSED TO SLAM US..well it decided to fizzle up and develop WAY out to sea...so NO STORM, instead Highs just around 30°, again colder N/W of NYC..sunny.   (Dillon and I are VERY upset about this...sunniness..so is the rest of the weather weenie world  )

FRIDAY - Sunny, windy too Highs in HIGH 20°'s...into low 20°'s Upstate and North/West of NYC.

SATURDAY - Temps steady near 30-32° colder as you get farther north and e/w of NYC. Sunny.

Getting into Sunday/monday we have a POSSIBLE..and I will be very cautious about this, but a possible event for that time period. At this point that is all I will say.

Will post again Thursday, unless something comes up!

TEMPS - Just wanted to show you actual temps for the winter so far and the AVERAGE temps for same period of time! Orange line is Average, Actual temps in Blue....VERY INTERESTING!!!! SO...when you see Weather.com and they say we are ABOVE THE AVERAGE TEMPS, SHOW THEM THIS CHART!