Showing posts with label timing. Show all posts
Showing posts with label timing. Show all posts

Monday, January 26, 2015

*****10:20PM UPDATE FOLKS...I HATE TO DO THIS...BUT I GOTTA*****

Latest Data coming in, plus my own observation of the radar returns are leading me to believe that 20"+ Is going to be hard to come by, unless we can REALLY ramp up the snow in the next 12-24 hours. 

SO, WE ARE ISSUING A NEW SNOW MAP, ***BUT NOTE THE OLD ONE IS STILL IN THE REALM OF POSSIBILITIES, DO NOT DISCOUNT IT*****. I ISSUE THIS WITH EXTREME CAUTION - IT WOULD NOT TAKE MUCH AT ALL FOR US TO GET IN THE ZONE OF 18-24+", BUT AT THIS POINT IN TIME, I THINK WE WILL JUST MISS THAT ZONE BY A TAD.

REMEMBER AS WELL, THIS STORM WAS NEVER SUPPOSED TO REACH ITS POTENTIAL UNTIL AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT - SO WE STILL HAVE TIME. GIVE THIS MONSTER TIME.

COULD I BE WRONG? OF COURSE. BUT HEY, YOU GOTTA BE WRONG SOMETIMES...AND THIS IS A VERY TOUGH SCIENCE. FOR ALL WE KNOW, THE EURO COULD BE RIGHT, AND WE COULD END UP WITH 20" TOMORROW...BUT MY GUT IS TELLING ME DIFFERENTLY, FOR NOW AT LEAST.

NOT LOWERING TOTALS A TON, BUT ENOUGH.

IF DILLON AND I FEEL THIS NEEDS TO CHANGE TOMORROW MORNING, THEN WE WILL CHANGE IT.

You have to realize, that we can do ALL the forecasting we want, but nothing will be the observations and NOWCASTS. Do not take this as A CONCRETE THING, BUT MORE OF A GUIDE. Weather Models are guides, that we use to interpret and Observations of Radar/Satellite, etc. are the concrete things.

BLIZZARD WARNINGS STILL IN EFFECT, WINDS WILL STILL GET UP THERE. PLEASE BE CAREFUL, AND AGAIN THANKS FOR YOUR SUPPORT!




Sunday, January 25, 2015

******IMPORTANT SMALL UPDATE FOLKS*******

*****PLEASE READ
EVEN THOUGH THE BULK OF THE SNOW IS NOT TOMORROW DAYTIME, THE 1-3" FOR TOMORROW COULD EASILY BECOME 2-4" OR MORE AS THE EXTREMELY COLD TEMPERATURES WILL LEAD TO MUCH HIGHER SNOW RATIOS - SO TRAVELLING PEEPS BE CAREFUL. BE CAREFUL GETTING TO AND FROM SCHOOL!

FELLOW CLASSMATES, MAKE SURE YOU GOT RIDES TO AND FROM SCHOOL IF NOT TAKING THE BUS ESPECIALLY IN THE AFTERNOON!

Friday, January 23, 2015

******OKI DOKI HERE WE GO EVENING UPDATE FOR POSSIBLE MAJOR WINTER STORM AHEAD***************

THINGS MOVING QUICKLY FOLKS! QUICKLY!

A Low pressure system will move up the coast this evening (Already at Baltimore as we speak) and move NE offshore intensifying VERY RAPIDLY and dropping nearly 40 MILLIBARS IN THE PROCESS! It will then pass just to the East of Nantucket and continue into the gulf of Maine continuing to intensify.
NOW PROBLEMS: This storm is coming BETWEEN the shots of cold air we have been getting and therefore does not have fresh cold air to work with! This HAS been the case with many of the storms we have had this year! NOW, here is the good news! Because of how FAST this storm will intensify once it hits the coast it will ACTUALLY CREATE ITS OWN COLD AIR SO-TO-SPEAK, with Dynamic Cooling as we weather peeps call it. SO, While there may not be the coldest air at the surface, or even aloft, this storm does have the means to create some big snows!
PRECIPITATION TYPES: Areas on the IMMEDIATE COAST WILL experience a good bout of snow, but will likely change quickly over to a rain/sleet/mix tomorrow midday and maybe even plain rain with the possibility of heading back to all snow, but that will DEFINITELY cut down on the precip amounts.
INLAND AREAS closer to coast will experience a mostly ALL SNOW event with some sleet/ice/rain mixing in midday tomorrow, but it should switch back over to snow before heading out. INLAND AREAS AWAY FROM COAST, AN ALL SNOW SOLUTION HERE! 
COASTAL REGIONS AROUND BOSTON! YOU MAY BE IN TROUBLE! See by the time the system gets up to Boston, or off the shore of Boston, it will be INTENSIFYING MUCH SLOWER! SO, NOT AS MUCH DYNAMIC COOLING GOING ON! It will HAVE TO DEAL with whatever COLD AIR IS LEFT, for the most part!. You might be surprised with less snow, OR more???
The GRADIENT of snow on this storm will be steep ON BOTH SIDES! This is NOT an inland storm...SO ALL Y'ALL UP NORTH - SORRY ITS OUR TURN!!!
COULD THIS BE A TOTAL BUST? YES! AND EITHER WAY! IT could end up being 1-3" and RAIN, or 8+" and ALL SNOW!
BOTTOM LINE IS, THIS WILL BE A WET AND HEAVY SNOW REGARDLESS OF WHERE YOU ARE, WITH THE DEFINITE POSSIBILITY OF SOME ICE ON TOP, SO DO NOT BE SURPRISED IF YOU GET SOME CRUST ON TOP OF WET SNOW!
*********I HIGHLY RECOMMEND AGAINST DRIVING TOMORROW OR GOING PLACES IF NORTH OF NYC AND IMMEDIATE COASTAL REGIONS!*******
TOTAL PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS ON MAP BELOW! 

TIMING - LATE TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW EVENING. DETAILS ON MAP!
SHORT UPDATE COMING BEFORE I GO TO BED, AGAIN TOMORROW MORNING!