*******MONDAY EVENING UPDATE ON WEEK AHEAD (WILD ONE?)*********

FIRST OFF, DILLON AND ME ARE VERY PROUD WITH HOW THIS STORM WORKED OUT AND OUR FORECAST - PRETTY MUCH SPOT ON. WE KNEW THAT COLD AIR WOULD STICK AROUND AND THIS STORM WOULD PRODUCE MORE SNOW THEN THE LIQUID STUFF THAT WE ALL HATE wink emoticon

SECONDLY - This next couple weeks COULD go down as the SNOWIEST two weeks for New England and parts of the NorthEast...if that gives you a hint at what is going on!
FLASH FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT! FOLKS TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO RAPIDLY DROP AND THE WINDS WILL PICK UP. ANY STANDING WATER, MELTED SNOW, UNTREATED SURFACES, ETC WILL FREEZE UP! BE CAREFUL DRIVING, WALKING, GOING OUTSIDE!
******- 3 POTENTIAL STORMS ON THE WAY FOLKS! FIRST ONE FOR THURSDAY/FRIDAY AND THEN 2 MORE NEXT WEEK...AT THE VERY LEAST.********

We Still have details to work out with the storm for Thursday/Friday but KEEP YOUR EYES OUT for posts from us as we will have all the latest details!

TONIGHT - Temps falling to low teens/upper single digits for many and even down into the negatives North and NW of the City. Any snow showers will wrap up and end, skies gradually clearing.

TUESDAY - Highs in the LOW to MID 20's, I DOUBT we will reach 30°! WATCH FOR ICED UP SURFACES!!!! Partly cloudy, becoming sunnier as day goes on. WINDS will stay up there folks!

WEDNESDAY - Some Snow showers are possible during the day, Otherwise partly cloudy and Highs near 32°.

THURSDAY - Possible storm coming during the afternoon/evening into friday. STILL too early to really tell, more details tomorrow and Wednesday.

******THURSDAY NIGHT ON UPCOMING NOR'EASTER*******

OK, Honestly..I do not want to be doing a post right now because I just do not like the limited amount data that is available at the moment. HOWEVER, as I want to provide the LATEST, AND BEST forecasts for all y'all, here ya go.

I know A lot of you dont like details - IF YOU DO NOT...just scroll to bottom too see forecast and pics for maps on snow. But I think it is important to include the details.

Normally what happens with a Nor'Easter like this in the winter is we get a massive snowstorm. PROBLEM is this storm is arrive just a tad to early before that cold air sets in fully. Now this creates some issues for those who want snow down here. A RAPIDLY (AND I DO MEAN RAPIDLY) Deepening (Intensifying) low will develop off the Gulf of mexico tonight and spread heavy rain across the southern states/SE USA. It will move up the Coast tomorrow and move to a position just about 75-100 miles off the Coast of southern NJ/Delaware mid atlantic by Friday Night. It will continue its trek to the NE and drop 30+ Millibars in less then 24 hours...SO..in other words... it will go BOMBOGENESIS once it hits that warm water. It will move EAST OF Montauk and the Cape/Nantucket by Saturday Night.

With a storm THIS STRONG, AND INTENSIFYING SO RAPIDLY what happens, and this will help us, is that it evaporates and condenses the air so quickly that it actually creates its own cold air. This is called Dynamic cooling..and it can change rain to snow pretty quickly. So this is GOOD! NOW! PROBLEMS...Surface temperatures will be around 30-34° depending on where you are, then colder away from the coast down to high 20's. So...Coastal regions....you may end up with more of that snow/ice/rain mix for a while, which would cut down on Snow amounts. However...I think with this dynamic cooling, and the slightly colder solution that the euro shows we can get more snow. GOOD NEWS, IS THAT THE COLD AIR DOES COME QUICKLY, AND SO IT IS NOT INCONCEIVABLE (Princess Bride quote) THAT WE WOULD HAVE A SNOW TO RAIN/SNOW BACK TO SNOW EVENT!

****************EITHER WAY FOLKS, WE WILL GET SNOW! THIS IS NON-NEGOTIABLE AT THIS POINT. ITS JUST DOWN TO FINE TUNING THE TEMPS AND TRACK OF THIS STORM DOWN THE FEW MILES TO GET EXACT PRECIP AMOUNTS.********************

At this point I have limited data, so it is somewhat difficult to PINPOINT exactly whats going on. Maps are posted below, forecast as well.

PLEASE LOOK! GUYS, EITHER WAY THIS SATURDAY WILL BE UGLY!

********FORECAST*********

FRIDAY - Partly Cloudy becoming more cloudy as the system gets closer, Highs in the low 30's.

SATURDAY - SNOW ARRIVING EARLY MORNING, Like 5-6am likely maybe before. Should be light to moderate, Temperatures steady in upper 20's probably. Snow will continue throughout the morning and then likely change to a rain/snow/ice mix for a brief time in the afternoon before turning back to snow and continuing at a heavier clip through the evening and into nighttime at which point it will begin to move out..and completely be outta the area by Sunday morning. Highs on Saturday probably 34-36° in NYC and along immediate coast, to near 40/50 on Long Island. Temps inland from Coast 30-34° and quickly dropping to mid to high 20's during nighttime. As the storm rapidly intensifies off the coast do not be surprised for some gusty winds. 
TIMING - Saturday 5-6am until Saturday Midnight tapering off by Sunday EARLY MORNING.


SUNDAY - Cloudy skies will clear out to partly cloudy skies. Small chance of some snow showers, but nothing much.

MONDAY - Not going to go into detail, but we have ANOTHER possible Storm for Monday/Tuesday. It will cold enough that this would likely be all snow IF and only IF it hits. WILL not KNOW until Saturday night/Sunday on that one.

PLEASE REMEMBER FOLKS THIS MAP WILL LIKELY CHANGE. UPDATED MAP GOING UP AGAIN TOMORROW MORNING.

THIS, AS ALWAYS IS A TRICKY FORECAST...CHANGES ARE POSSIBLE.

************EXTREMELY IMPORTANT UPDATE FOLKS, PLEASE READ*************

EXACTLY WHAT I SAID YESTERDAY WOULD HAPPEN, IS HAPPENING. EVEN THOUGH WE HAVE RAIN FALLING, THE GROUND IS COLD ENOUGH THAT IT IS FREEZING ON CONTACT.

I JUST SPENT THE LAST HOUR GETTING MY MOMS CAR UP OUR DRIVEWAY BECAUSE OF THE 1/8" THICK LAYER OF ICE THAT IS ON IT.

THE ROADS ARE SLIPPERY, DILLON REPORTS TO ME THAT THE TACONIC IS CLOSED.

DO NOT TRAVEL, JUST DONT. NOT WORTH IT.

FLOOD ADVISORY WILL LIKELY GO UP LATER, BUT IF NOT...JUST KNOW WE HAVE SOME HEAVY HEAVY RAIN HEADING OUR WAY AND IT WILL NOT BE SOAKED UP ON FROZEN GROUND - IT WILL FLOOD.

TRUST DILLON AND I ON THIS. PLEASE.

Latest radar ----> http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/northeast.php